A 20-year ‘mega-drought’ in Australia? Research suggests it’s happened before – and we should expect it again

Wed, 1 May 2024 19:32:05 +1000

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://theconversation.com/a-20-year-mega-drought-in-australia-research-suggests-its-happened-before-and-we-should-expect-it-again-223356>

"Droughts can have dramatic effects in Australia – decimating agriculture,
threatening water resources and devastating the environment. Much of Australia
is drought-prone, and the risk is expected to increase as global warming
continues.

That’s why it’s important for Australia to be prepared for droughts,
particularly those lasting multiple years.

To have some idea of just how bad things might get, we must look far back in
time to see what’s come before. That’s where our new research comes in.

We examined computer simulations of Earth’s climate over the past 1,150 years.
Worryingly, we found that given enough time, natural variability in Australian
rainfall can produce “mega-droughts” lasting 20 years or more. If we add in
human-caused climate change, it suggests future droughts will be far worse than
we imagined."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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