AEMO says wind, solar and storage keeping energy reliability “healthy,” despite leap in data-driven demand

Fri, 22 Aug 2025 18:51:21 +1000

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://reneweconomy.com.au/aemo-says-wind-solar-and-storage-keeping-energy-reliability-healthy-despite-leap-in-data-driven-demand/>

"In a week where National Party senator Matt Canavan staged a one-man
productivity picnic-table outside federal parliament, sipping from a mug that
declared “I heart fossil fuels”, and calling for a return to the coal age, the
findings of the latest energy market reliability forecast are a sweet dose of
reality.

The 2025 Electricity Statement of Opportunities (ESOO), published by the
Australian Energy Market Operator on Thursday, finds that a record 12 months of
investment in solar, wind and storage has left Australia’s energy system even
more reliable, not less, than this time last year.

And this trend is expected to repeat, says AEMO CEO Daniel Westerman, thanks to
the pipeline of new generation, storage, transmission projects, alongside
continued integration of consumer energy resources.

“The 10-year investment pipeline to manage energy reliability is healthy,”
Westerman says, and should stay that way as long as governments, investors and
developers keep doing what they’re doing.”

What results is one of the most benign forecasts issued by AEMO in a while.
Taking into account the various tenders being operated by federal and state
governments, including the Capacity Investment Scheme, AEMO suggests unserved
energy will be well within reliability standards over the next decade.

“AEMO forecasts sufficient generation capacity to meet growing electricity
demand within the relevant reliability standards in most regions and years in
the next decade,” the report says, with the caveat that those tender-winning
projects do have to be built, and connected to the grid."

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

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