The great divide: How different Covid-19 control strategies shaped pandemic outcomes

Tue, 28 Oct 2025 11:19:10 +1100

Andrew Pam <xanni [at] glasswings.com.au>

Andrew Pam
<https://www.phcc.org.nz/briefing/great-divide-how-different-covid-19-control-strategies-shaped-pandemic-outcomes>

"At the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic, countries responded in a range of ways.
Our new research reveals that those that put in place explicit
exclusion/elimination strategies achieved dramatically lower Covid-19 mortality
during the critical 2020-21 period.

These jurisdictions recorded negative excess mortality—fewer deaths than
expected based on previous years—with -2.1 deaths per 100,000 population,
compared with 166.5 per 100,000 in other jurisdictions. In particular, island
jurisdictions with stringent border restrictions experienced substantially
better outcomes than non-islands.

Crucially, we found no consistent evidence that stringent border restrictions
harmed economic growth compared to jurisdictions with less stringent
restrictions. This finding challenges widespread assumptions about inevitable
trade-offs between health and the economy."

Via Violet Blue’s Threat Model - Covid: October 23, 2025
https://www.patreon.com/posts/covid-october-23-141840402

Cheers,
       *** Xanni ***
--
mailto:xanni@xanadu.net               Andrew Pam
http://xanadu.com.au/                 Chief Scientist, Xanadu
https://glasswings.com.au/            Partner, Glass Wings
https://sericyb.com.au/               Manager, Serious Cybernetics

Comment via email

Home E-Mail Sponsors Index Search About Us